Sports betting can be extremely profitable if a person know the secrets the particular “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make dollars. One of the primary secrets that clever money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a great example of this. ufabet168.info and i analyzed this Western Florida vs. Louisville sport, and concluded that West Virginia had the particular edge in the game. Nevertheless , We also noticed that there initially were a great deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not guess on this game. Here is my personal analysis I released just before the game:
West Virginia vs . Louisville
This activity provides all the indications of being one of the best games regarding the year, together with both teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, having Western Virginia coming again from becoming down big in the next quarter to winning throughout overtime, however,.
So what’s the overall game appearance like this year?
In the event that this game were appearing played from a good neutral field, West California will probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since this game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented throw. They will haven’t lost considering July. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they dropped to California Tech. Inside the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 STREET games.
These kinds of are some very impressive stats that tilt typically the scales in favor of WVU with regard to tonight’s online. Plus, this added in bonus offer is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This will likely not seem like substantially, but in a close up match-up this way, that spare point will make the variation between a push in addition to a loss.
But what regarding Louisville?
Louisville’s statistics are really almost as good while WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her very last 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS into their last 10 home games.
Plus if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your own home since 12 17, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points for each game in the home, while averaging only stopping 15. 6 points per game from home. In case you failed to do the math concepts, that means given that his or her last home loss they are yet to averaged beating their own competitors by means of about thirty four details per game.
What’s more amazing, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten often the range, on average, by way of 13 details per video game at home considering 2003.
Wow… how can an individual go against that?
Here’s exactly how…
Many of those stats ended up accumulated during the 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They also have possessed recent games that has they have already only scored 35, 12, 24 points. These games weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. They will have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.
The bottom line is of which this is still a close activity to phone. But the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s zero factor to think WVU can’t have one to this low to core 20’s. My honest recommendation is to lay off this particular game and definitely not bet at all. There are better game titles this end of the week with more simple positive aspects.
The final score with this game was Louisville forty four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to come back a punt for a TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s border wasn’t so big that they can can still win after making so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this video game, people severe regarding sports betting saved money they can put to better employ on approaching games.